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PoliticsExpires May 7, 2026

Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Probability

23¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-15.5pp

24h Vol

$5.15

Liquidity

$3.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-21.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 283.3h

    LOW
  • 10:44Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 283h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 10:44Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -24.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -21.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -22.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -21.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -23.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -24.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (17.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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