International-Relationship
0x5f8a0d4112b3050bf68f2e250e39e4d8a8ef12b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$16.39
Total PnL
$-290.90
Realised
$-13.43
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
30 shares @ 9.7¢·now 50.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.25
$12.34
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
125 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
115 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
93 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET
60 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.53
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.22Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5$1.02Jun 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5$1.03Jun 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger$1.02Jun 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner$1.02Jun 9, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci$1.02Jun 8, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$2.63Jun 5, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jun 5, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.03Jun 4, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 4, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.04Jun 3, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.03Jun 3, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.03Jun 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$3.65Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.28Jun 2, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?$5.38Jun 2, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?$4.26Jun 2, 01:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.