Grouchy-Defender
0x5f8a8592b38d19028ada0af233bf76a1cf20c8fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$8.05
Total PnL
$-1.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.55
$0.12
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.07
$0.31
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on May 21?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.74
$-0.01
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.69
$0.00
- METS
Marlins vs. Mets
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on May 21?$1.75May 21, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 14?$2.33May 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 14?$1.90May 14, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?$1.80May 14, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?$1.78May 7, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.69May 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$0.37May 1, 09:37 UTC
- REWARD$1.38Apr 24, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Apr 24, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$0.00Apr 23, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?$0.00Apr 23, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMStorm vs. Fever$0.00Apr 23, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs$0.00Apr 23, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$1.76Apr 23, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 15?$1.86Apr 23, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$2.25Apr 23, 15:27 UTC
- REWARD$2.84Apr 21, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Apr 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 15?$1.68Apr 15, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs$1.38Apr 8, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $258.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".