Defenseless-Turtle
0x5fbe5dc478e58fb3d6ef8076e28597ea0aa48215
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$594.66
Total PnL
$-342.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
231 shares @ 86.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$199.69
$-0.31
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
177 shares @ 56.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$133.58
$33.58
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$116.28
$16.28
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
667 shares @ 7.5¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
236 shares @ 21.2¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.99
$-6.01
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.24
$7.24
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
118 shares @ 12.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$15.89
$0.89
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?
428 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$6.21
$-8.79
- YES
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.18
$-5.82
- NO
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in April?
334 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$5.19May 10, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$10.38May 10, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.36May 10, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$20.00May 10, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$20.00May 10, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 10, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$100.00May 10, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$52.31May 10, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?$10.48May 10, 05:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $46.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".