Unwelcome-Silo
0x5fc76fd62dc110f55e9584cb69b4de1553b1baa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$51.99
Total PnL
$-243.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
19 shares @ 77.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$8.79
$-11.21
- YES
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.82
$0.82
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
16 shares @ 32.1¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?
28 shares @ 17.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$2.97
$-2.02
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.27
$-2.73
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.79
$-4.21
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?$5.21Jul 22, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?$5.17Jul 22, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?$15.50Jul 22, 02:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYYokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows$5.13Jul 16, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.14Jul 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$5.00Jul 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?$5.10Jul 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.15Jul 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$5.19Jul 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$20.33Jul 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jul 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?$30.91Jul 16, 20:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $10.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.