Organic-Raisin
0x5fd4c6d9dba9b6a2b4c0a29e01a07affbc1cc0fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$470.32
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$131.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
2354 shares @ 9.3¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$353.08
$134.20
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3846 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.85
$-71.15
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
396 shares @ 7.1¢·now 5.7¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$22.55
$-5.45
- NO
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?
2437 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$15.84
$-32.03
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
8705 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-168.99
- NO
Will Bill Clinton's remarks not air?
5388 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?
5308 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-386.99
- NO
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
2528 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
2280 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
2210 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-155.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$39.45May 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$39.33May 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?$49.28May 19, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$48.75May 19, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$105.93May 19, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$506.61May 19, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$230.00Apr 19, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$119.60Apr 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$40.00Apr 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$50.00Apr 19, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$77.00Apr 19, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$277.52Apr 18, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$131.00Apr 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$130.04Apr 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$144.00Apr 14, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$63.99Apr 14, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLX banned in any European country by December 31?$80.68Apr 14, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$207.00Apr 12, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$84.40Apr 12, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$122.78Apr 12, 15:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $151.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.