Distinct-Exasperation
0x5fe09729a23b13d727f2e683fd47b4206951b2fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.86
Total PnL
$-35.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.86
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 8?
1088 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?
1075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 19?
1073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?
1071 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 9?
1071 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30?
1069 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 7?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 1?
1069 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 25?
1066 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 7?$2.14Jun 7, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?$2.14May 25, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 21?$2.12May 22, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 19?$2.15May 19, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$2.13May 16, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?$2.10May 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?$2.15May 4, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30?$3.21Apr 30, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 26?$2.13Apr 26, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.30 on April 18?$1.1KApr 20, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 on April 18?$1.1KApr 19, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on April 18?$1.1KApr 19, 02:40 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Apr 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on April 18?$1.1KApr 18, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 17?$1.1KApr 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 17?$1.1KApr 17, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 16?$1.1KApr 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 16?$1.1KApr 16, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?$1.1KApr 16, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?$1.1KApr 15, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $314.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.