0x5fe745de625411f3376e67d5708481b98b5d44a2
0x5fe745de625411f3376e67d5708481b98b5d44a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$-313.65
Realised
$-22.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1999 shares @ 47.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$769.76
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3994 shares @ 37.6¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.7K
$197.25
- NO
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1009 shares @ 49.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$963.75
$463.75
- NO
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1177 shares @ 12.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$906.14
$764.49
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
687 shares @ 43.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$631.28
$331.28
- NO
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
558 shares @ 71.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$521.42
$121.42
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
601 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$489.40
$189.40
- NO
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?
359 shares @ 83.7¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$304.82
$4.82
- YES
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
941 shares @ 53.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.82
$-288.18
- YES
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?
642 shares @ 31.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$170.12
$-29.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$26.25Jul 23, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$26.25Jul 23, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$19.33Jul 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$33.16Jul 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$52.49Jul 23, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$104.95Jul 23, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMOver $35M committed to the Credible public sale?$976.25Jul 17, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $60M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.1KJul 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$212.38Jul 16, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$105.14Jul 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Credible public sale?$53.45Jul 14, 18:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.08Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the Credible public sale?$103.50Jul 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the Credible public sale?$103.50Jul 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Credible public sale?$53.26Jul 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the Credible public sale?$104.44Jul 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$105.74Jul 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the Credible public sale?$104.69Jul 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$105.96Jul 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.0KJul 13, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $280.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.