Severe-Tachometer
0x5fe829fbff83e5a8012da4379bc4eceb93bdbc3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$64.09
Total PnL
$-4.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
40 shares @ 98.6¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$38.36
$-1.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 20?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.99
$0.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 22?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.94
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.80
$-0.08
- FRANCES TIAFOE
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 22?$9.87Jun 20, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?$5.88Jun 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 20?$9.68Jun 18, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?$10.00Jun 17, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?$10.00Jun 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?$0.97Jun 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?$6.87Jun 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?$1.97Jun 16, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?$0.47Jun 16, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?$9.23Jun 16, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?$10.00Jun 13, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$10.00Jun 13, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?$9.85Jun 12, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$9.81Jun 12, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 11?$10.00Jun 11, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?$10.00Jun 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?$9.54Jun 10, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 11?$9.67Jun 9, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?$10.00May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?$9.90May 15, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 12:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.