Identical-Decline
0x5ff8dc9563f85de6d3f49acae31fa99898bb5728
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-542.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
592 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
267 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
198 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
164 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
94 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
81 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?
80 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
47 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5 AND Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$2.34Jun 26, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.84Jun 26, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 AND Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$3.25Jun 25, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuraçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 AND Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$6.12Jun 25, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$7.07Jun 25, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.92Jun 25, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5$3.88Jun 19, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$3.84Jun 19, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$2.17Jun 19, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.98Jun 19, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.16Jun 19, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.12Jun 19, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melquizael Costa win by KO or TKO?$9.11May 17, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)$7.59May 17, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)$8.08May 17, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$5.74May 17, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernardo Sopaj win by KO or TKO?$5.11May 17, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLFight to Go the Distance?$10.87May 17, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$7.44May 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$10.17May 15, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 06:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.