Obvious-Deduction
0x600c4d275161bc3093e7ae6566301ef344fa908b
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.4K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$84.93
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
11479 shares @ 74.9¢·now 76.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.8K
$166.98
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
1572 shares @ 74.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$212.87
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2177 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.10
$-5.44
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1249 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$93.03
$-11.86
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
4750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
1008 shares @ 84.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-850.00
- YES
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-24?
690 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-17?
659 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
504 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-95.76
- NO
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
357 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-196.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$107.77Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$107.85Jun 13, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.4KJun 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$240.55Jun 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$241.03Jun 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$240.23Jun 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$684.28Jun 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$500.00Jun 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$489.83Jun 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.1KJun 13, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$3.1KJun 13, 17:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.2KJun 12, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.2KJun 12, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$493.06Jun 12, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$246.08Jun 12, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$243.72Jun 12, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$275.00Jun 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1000.00Jun 12, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $618.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.