Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Probability
82¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$359.92
Liquidity
$15.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 899.8h
- 12:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 900h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 78¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 77¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 2¢-0.4pp
Will Brad Sherman win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will another candidate win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate B win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate D win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate F win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate H win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate J win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate L win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.2pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $3.5M
- 3¢-0.4pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $619.3K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $493.6K
- 5¢-0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $446.5K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $379.6K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $374.4K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).