0x60424cb64d127c272f0232bbc5fa719fce39ae17
0x60424cb64d127c272f0232bbc5fa719fce39ae17
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$15.52
Total PnL
$2.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.67
$2.67
- NO
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-1.25
- UZBEKISTAN
Spread: Uzbekistan (-4.5)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$2.00Jul 10, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 24, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-24?$1.00Jun 24, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Uzbekistan (-4.5)$1.03Jun 23, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$2.00Jun 23, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.00Jun 22, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYArcium FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Jun 22, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00Jun 22, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.87Jun 17, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.94May 29, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.26May 15, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.03May 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.03May 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02May 11, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 05:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.