Puny-Imagination
0x6047dc36593b5224795eec875a713b63e6f14f6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$14.46
Total PnL
$-49.16
Realised
$-2.62
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
11 shares @ 46.5¢·now 62.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.67
$1.67
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 22?
602 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$3.31
$2.31
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 17.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.01
$-1.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 22?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 22?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 4?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 7?
187 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 22?$1.07Aug 21, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 22?$1.07Aug 21, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 22?$1.07Aug 21, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 20?$1.07Aug 19, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 7?$1.07Aug 6, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 7?$1.07Aug 6, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6?$1.07Aug 5, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?$1.07Aug 5, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5?$1.07Aug 4, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 5?$1.07Aug 4, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 4?$1.07Aug 2, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 4?$1.07Aug 2, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?$1.07Aug 1, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 1?$1.07Jul 31, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 1?$1.07Jul 31, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31?$1.07Jul 30, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 31?$1.07Jul 30, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 30?$1.07Jul 29, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 30?$1.07Jul 29, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 28?$1.07Jul 28, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.