Unwelcome-Radar-Tracking
0x60541017ca7b1dcd1d2447d20aea73b8efe6a179
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$69.13
Total PnL
$-376.34
Realised
$2.49
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.18
$1.19
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.00
$11.60
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
13 shares @ 78.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.70
$2.70
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.24
$0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on April 4?
324 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-138.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
40 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 5?
32 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.65
- YES
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
30 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 13?
29 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$9.03Jun 30, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$12.72Jun 30, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$16.85Jun 30, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$30.00Jun 30, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$30.85Jun 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$15.12May 17, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$15.67May 17, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$0.00May 16, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$0.00May 16, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?$0.00May 16, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$29.12May 16, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$5.16May 16, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$10.25May 16, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$7.94May 16, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$11.76May 16, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?$23.26May 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$6.21May 4, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?$20.20May 4, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?$21.55May 4, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$5.13May 3, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.