Pointless-Morphology
0x6058db9959bc1b732c0c106c44d2897c5d6f1327
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$561.05
Total PnL
$-9.0K
Realised
$292.59
Win rate
42%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7211 shares @ 9.7¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$299.26
$-400.73
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
273 shares @ 36.7¢·now 41.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$113.57
$13.57
- NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
50 shares @ 75.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.00
$12.20
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
31 shares @ 77.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.62
$6.93
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
89 shares @ 26.6¢·now 28.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.88
$1.20
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.25
$-4.75
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 16.8¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.97
$-1.42
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
33 shares @ 26.3¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.55
$-2.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
47 shares @ 17.9¢·now 13.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.13
$-2.28
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 58.3¢·now 58.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.25
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
31 closed markets, 42% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.