Boiling-Broiler
0x6087d1cf398c22eb2070a266cf371cb0e93153c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-237.76
Win rate
70%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
223 shares @ 89.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$186.60
$-13.40
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
174 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.92
$-2.61
- NO
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?
105 shares @ 86.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$83.24
$-6.84
- NO
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
101 shares @ 83.1¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$79.00
$-5.14
- NO
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 92.4¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$71.81
$-5.31
- NO
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?
96 shares @ 82.9¢·now 73.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$70.16
$-9.17
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?
123 shares @ 71.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$69.22
$-18.61
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?
155 shares @ 59.8¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$66.62
$-26.09
- NO
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
92 shares @ 72.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$52.95
$-13.35
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
58 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$50.16
$0.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$35.54Jul 22, 01:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.19Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.00Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$100.00Jul 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$16.10Jul 21, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$15.63Jul 21, 08:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$14.10Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?$29.19Jul 20, 08:46 UTC
- REWARD$1.90Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$119.76Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?$21.90Jul 19, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?$22.20Jul 19, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?$22.20Jul 19, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$100.82Jul 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$10.38Jul 19, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?$24.80Jul 19, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?$25.20Jul 19, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $39.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.