CryptoExpires Jan 1, 2028

Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Probability

77¢

-1.0pp

24h

-6.0pp

24h Vol

$426.85

Liquidity

$14.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+7.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 06:12

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 14782.8h
LOW
06:12Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14783h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
06:00Price
Probability down -5.5pp
to 77¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 78¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -6.0pp
to 77¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 81¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 5.5pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 80¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 80¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 6.5pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 81¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 9.0pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 10.5pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 12.5pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 12.5pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 14.0pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 14.0pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 13.0pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWill Predict.fun launch a token by ___?

Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jan 1, 2028
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket