Accurate-Veldt
0x60a4f3bfc63794cd9438fa2e42e7e7319f788e41
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
52947 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-569.66
- YES
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
577 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Evidence released that Kamala worked at McDonald's?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
176 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz win the Brazilian Grand Prix?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
105 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-85.00
- NO
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?
97 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
69 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?$31.75Feb 28, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEM2024 October hottest on record?$20.27Nov 14, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?$21.35Nov 14, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$22.22Nov 14, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins a solid blue state?$23.53Nov 14, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWho will Nate Silver predict to win the election?$33.33Nov 14, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AP call the election by November 6?$74.63Nov 14, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AP call the election by November 5?$0.00Nov 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?$20.00Nov 3, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin new all time high in 2024?$10.00Nov 3, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?$5.00Nov 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?$20.00Nov 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?$10.00Nov 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$20.00Nov 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 October hottest on record?$15.00Nov 3, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$3.00Nov 3, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$25.00Nov 3, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 3, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 3, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$20.00Nov 3, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $15.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.