0x60b9178f8fd5864cee836de4366538f02226a2a9
0x60b9178f8fd5864cee836de4366538f02226a2a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.25
Total PnL
$-5.54
Realised
$0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.99
$1.85
- YES
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.57
$-0.53
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.69
$-7.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$0.00Jul 9, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$4.92Jul 7, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?$0.00Jul 7, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?$1.85Jul 6, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$1.48Jul 6, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$2.96Jul 6, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$3.46Jul 6, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMLaso Finance FDV above $8M one day after launch$0.53Jul 5, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$2.11Jul 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?$8.40Jul 5, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?$0.25Jul 5, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?$2.02Jul 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?$1.70Jul 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$2.81Jul 5, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$1.12Jul 5, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$0.20Jul 5, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$0.70Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$1.94Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLLaso Finance FDV above $8M one day after launch$2.56Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLLaso Finance FDV above $8M one day after launch$0.35Jul 4, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 14:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.