0x60ce53dd01bba59e8dd76955d2390392a5f5b36f
0x60ce53dd01bba59e8dd76955d2390392a5f5b36f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$21.36
Total PnL
$-844.38
Realised
$-139.29
Win rate
7%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Score
6 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$6.45
$4.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.25
$-0.16
- NO
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?
6 shares @ 59.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$3.60
$0.20
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
11 shares @ 32.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.24
$-0.16
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 73.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.81
$0.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22?
175 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UNDER
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5
155 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.50
- ASHLYN KRUEGER
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger
98 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?
71 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 7?
67 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWashington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5$2.28Jul 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm$2.28Jul 21, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 20?$3.48Jul 21, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 20?$0.05Jul 20, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.63Jul 20, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.92Jul 20, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 20?$2.14Jul 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 20?$2.11Jul 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 20?$2.13Jul 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 20?$2.15Jul 19, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 18?$2.65Jul 19, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 18?$2.72Jul 19, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$0.20Jul 19, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMMichael Olise: 1+ goals$2.57Jul 18, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMMichael Olise: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 18, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 18?$2.59Jul 18, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 18?$2.50Jul 18, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.52Jul 18, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.