Creepy-Diffuse
0x60d3a58ba4681d64d3cbc010e9131cef62e44cb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-10.56
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
556 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
474 shares @ 93.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-444.00
- OVER
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
441 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- OVER
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5
333 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score
248 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
180 shares @ 88.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-158.78
- YES
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- FC BARCELONA
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
164 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-14?
145 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?
143 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEgypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5 AND Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$271.54Jun 27, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMEgypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5 AND Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5$972.89Jun 27, 05:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-1.5) AND Spread: Senegal (-2.5)$1.1KJun 26, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86.40Jun 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$120.18Jun 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$339.63Jun 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$687.77Jun 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?$692.61Jun 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.56Jun 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$802.65Jun 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$171.67Jun 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$347.40Jun 26, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEgypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5 AND Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$100.00Jun 26, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5) AND Spread: Senegal (-2.5)$158.00Jun 26, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEgypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5 AND Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5$665.99Jun 26, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMTunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$315.22Jun 26, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMTunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5$625.00Jun 26, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMCuraçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$329.82Jun 25, 22:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $237.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 06:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.