Inexperienced-Dinghy
0x60d4cec3be5dc9e5bf4297bbd46041a3672cf54e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-384.18
Realised
$-50.55
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on January 25?
170 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-99.09
- YES
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
117 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 28?
115 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 29?
77 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 27?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on January 22?
65 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 29?
41 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.34
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
28 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-22.48
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
27 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$20.18Jun 17, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$25.08Jun 14, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$25.07Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$21.41Jun 11, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$21.40Jun 11, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$15.13Jun 11, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?$15.00Apr 9, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$22.48Feb 7, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 3?$35.63Feb 3, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 3?$57.63Feb 3, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 28?$46.32Jan 29, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 29?$50.00Jan 29, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 29?$34.38Jan 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 28?$15.85Jan 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 29?$4.00Jan 29, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 28?$10.00Jan 28, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 29?$40.00Jan 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 28?$30.00Jan 28, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 27?$75.87Jan 28, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 28?$19.00Jan 28, 05:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $31.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.