Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.3pp
24h
-1.2pp
24h Vol
$277.38
Liquidity
$6.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 594.8h
- 05:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 595h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 10¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 20, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).