Idolized-Ball
0x60d7c5467f25fd05334bd300e65b766b551d0835
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$-69.41
Realised
$-8.45
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
7388 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.9K
$-36.93
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
3142 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.3K
$110.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
761 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
418 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
321 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
167 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$26.61Aug 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$26.49Aug 13, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$139.80Aug 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$101.99Aug 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$1.0KAug 13, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$102.38Aug 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$26.68Aug 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$26.65Aug 13, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$13.06Aug 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$26.56Aug 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$5.35Aug 13, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$26.58Aug 13, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.22Aug 13, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$106.38Aug 13, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.