Keen-Ranger
0x60ecb272bcd1258c5bff8b15cee9f45f6ec0f09c
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$113.99
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
1393 shares @ 7.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$55.03
$-47.97
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
979 shares @ 23.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.42
$-197.58
- YES
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.60
$-5.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.25
$-29.75
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
465 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.70
$-19.30
- YES
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
3950 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-487.95
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3075 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-506.84
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
2570 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.85Jul 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?$50.13Jul 18, 12:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68.59Jul 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJul 15, 21:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $269.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.