CryptoExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Probability

16¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$3.9K

Liquidity

$36.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 16¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6011.3h

    LOW
  • 17:44Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 16¢.

Biggest hourly move: -3.0pp at 4d ago (to 13¢).

Show all 6 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 13¢
  • 4d ago · -3.0pp → 13¢
  • 4d ago · -3.0pp → 13¢
  • 4d ago · -3.0pp → 13¢
  • 4d ago · -3.0pp → 13¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket