Flaky-Choice
0x60f4cd0d98062f535c242e50048a9492d1bbd6de
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$840.27
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-12.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
709 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$708.65
$0.35
- SRI LANKA
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
172 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$130.72
$-5.16
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
88 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.88
$-1.90
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
44 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.20
- NO
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
1618 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
790 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-189.60
- NO
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
639 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-83.07
- NO
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
553 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-88.48
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
313 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-228.49
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?
310 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-161.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$135.88Mar 25, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$135.20Mar 24, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$139.36Mar 23, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$1.4KMar 22, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$5.32Mar 22, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$288.80Mar 22, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$11.40Mar 22, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$287.43Mar 22, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$299.49Mar 22, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$14.07Mar 22, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$14.58Mar 21, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$45.54Mar 21, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$79.20Mar 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.58Mar 21, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-03-22?$345.84Mar 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$150.78Mar 21, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$583.05Mar 20, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-03-22?$351.08Mar 20, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$305.52Mar 20, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?$162.40Mar 19, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $210.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 05:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".