Well-Informed-Armchair
0x612fb1aadaa33941b4bea18535e0c16a31cce08b
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.48
Total PnL
$-130.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.08
$1.08
- NO
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.33
$0.33
- GRIZZLIES
Pistons vs. Grizzlies
335 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-127.29
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 1, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.20 released by January 9?$2.00Jan 1, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.30Jan 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$2.34Jan 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$2.90Jan 1, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$2.00Dec 24, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$2.00Dec 24, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.75Dec 24, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 16, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 16, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.43Dec 16, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 11, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 11, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Falcons$5.26Dec 11, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Falcons$4.00Dec 6, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$3.33Dec 6, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$2.00Nov 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.00Nov 30, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?$2.00Nov 30, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? $1.10Nov 30, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $37.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 09:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.