Knowing-Hive
0x6132d2870a4fc693f906b0b6f8f1c0389cf18795
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$14.06
Total PnL
$-275.28
Realised
$0.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
33 shares @ 16.9¢·now 35.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.59
$6.05
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.34
$-0.06
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.14
$0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
182 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26?
132 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.46
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
84 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.95
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
75 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- GEOFF NEAL
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)
59 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-38.35
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.51May 16, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich$2.17Apr 16, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich$2.00Apr 14, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi$1.07Apr 14, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi$1.00Apr 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.75Apr 14, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.05Apr 12, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$7.00Apr 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$2.64Mar 29, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.64Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1.00Mar 24, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$7.53Mar 23, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 20, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 19, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1.00Mar 19, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.50Mar 18, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.90Mar 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 17?$3.51Mar 16, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 17?$2.00Mar 16, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".