Genuine-Tribe
0x613b668ef24d3a37417cb5756c5943cae761da44
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$132.43
Total PnL
$218.49
Realised
$158.66
Win rate
100%
90 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Toronto FC next?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 45.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$44.95
$44.55
- YES
Will Matthew Riccitello finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 9.6¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$9.60
$9.20
- YES
Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.35
$5.15
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.05
$4.55
- YES
Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 4.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.70
$3.80
- YES
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.15
$2.85
- YES
Will Infosys Ltd be the largest Indian company?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.15
$2.94
- YES
Will HULIGANI Win The International 2026?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.65
$2.55
- YES
Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.50
$2.17
- YES
Will Lithuania win the UEFA EURO 2028?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.50
$2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 27?$0.02Jul 25, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on July 27?$0.01Jul 25, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill There be 0 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?$0.76Jul 25, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yan Diomande join Arsenal?$0.12Jul 25, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yan Diomande join Manchester City?$0.06Jul 25, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on July 26?$0.02Jul 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 26?$0.01Jul 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 26?$0.01Jul 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 25?$0.20Jul 25, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?$0.01Jul 25, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 27?$1.15Jul 25, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 27?$0.35Jul 25, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 27, 2026?$0.05Jul 25, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 25, 2026?$0.05Jul 25, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.09Jul 25, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$0.90Jul 25, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 25, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$0.12Jul 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$0.20Jul 25, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 90 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
90 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 07:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 90 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.