Scared-Randomization
0x613bc6b5a0c951db2030ff63de22a424ee2a175d
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.32
Total PnL
$-50.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
1 shares @ 67.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.46
$0.47
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
207 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- ASTRALIS
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
22 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- HORNETS
Pistons vs. Hornets
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$10.00Mar 7, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$1.00Mar 7, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$4.00Feb 27, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$10.00Feb 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 16, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$2.16Feb 16, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$0.00Feb 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 16, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$13.16Feb 16, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.72Feb 12, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$5.00Feb 9, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Hornets$5.00Feb 9, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$3.00Feb 9, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$20.00Feb 9, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$0.00Feb 9, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$42.45Feb 8, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $7.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".