Menacing-Dude
0x615c5f14e77b9749959393df479ac669e9245b46
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$83.07
Total PnL
$-15.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
28 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$25.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
17 shares @ 90.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.82
$-1.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.70
$-0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?
14 shares @ 73.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 7?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.53
$0.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.23
$-0.27
- YES
Will "Imagine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.71
$-0.29
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?$3.53Jun 6, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$3.50Jun 6, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 6, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.00Jun 6, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$8.04Jun 6, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 7?$5.06Jun 6, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?$10.13Jun 6, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7?$12.23Jun 6, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?$11.71Jun 6, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?$16.53Jun 6, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Imagine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?$2.00Jun 5, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$2.00Jun 5, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$3.04Jun 5, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?$14.27Jun 5, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$25.00Jun 5, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?$10.29Jun 5, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$56.74Jun 5, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$8.00Jun 5, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in June?$15.10Jun 5, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$15.69Jun 5, 19:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".