Grouchy-Fishmonger
0x615f00a3680746dbcfa4450ae28f02a082c8d43a
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$42.94
Total PnL
$-0.27
Realised
$-5.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 65.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.89
$1.34
- NO
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.63
$0.63
- NO
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.61
$0.86
- NO
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
2 shares @ 89.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$2.24
$0.24
- NO
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.16
$0.05
- NO
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$2.09
$0.09
- YES
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.88
$0.00
- TRUMP
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
2 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.82
$0.05
- PEREZ
WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.82
$0.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?$1.37Oct 30, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.47Oct 30, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)$1.00Oct 29, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iran strike on Israel in October?$1.10Oct 29, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$1.77Oct 29, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.88Oct 29, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$1.47Oct 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?$2.00Oct 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in October?$1.36Oct 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?$2.00Oct 26, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.24Oct 26, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$1.55Oct 26, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?$5.3KOct 25, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $1.75Oct 25, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$2.00Oct 25, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$2.11Oct 25, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$1.20Oct 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?$1.44Oct 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$1.42Oct 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$1.00Oct 25, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $426.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.