Urban-Skull
0x616b2de7b5381364cd7a610d488dd935d4dc68cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$12.46
Total PnL
$-11.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$5.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?
2 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on October 3?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on October 3?
6 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on October 3?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.0KJun 2, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.0KMay 24, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.02May 24, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$1.03May 24, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$44.35Apr 9, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$110.99Apr 9, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 18m?$5.13Apr 9, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m?$5.88Apr 9, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?$8.06Apr 9, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?$5.00Apr 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?$5.00Apr 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?$2.00Apr 9, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$44.00Mar 31, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$111.00Mar 31, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m?$5.00Oct 3, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 18m?$5.00Oct 3, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?$5.00Oct 3, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?$5.00Oct 3, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on October 3?$1.00Oct 3, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $130.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.