Competent-Grace
0x616cd9eb0263de8353c78baee5b81a80ba48aab7
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-303.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5418 shares @ 88.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$403.82
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
943 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?
811 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-492.89
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
329 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?
320 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Celtics
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- ROCKETS
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
243 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- CLIPPERS
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NUGGETS
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)
106 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.46Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.