Hasty-Covariate
0x6184d7454b63a487087a8befad44d95683654564
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$89.25
Total PnL
$-5.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
63 shares @ 39.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$63.00
$38.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.84
$-0.16
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
46 shares @ 21.6¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.97
$-3.03
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
70 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
21 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$10.22Jun 4, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$10.26May 30, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$25.45May 30, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.27May 16, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$10.00May 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$20.61May 14, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.82May 14, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$68.18May 14, 09:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $13.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.