Piercing-Randomisation
0x61b9f3945f777b8bb1d0fc92ec40e0c95703d4be
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.75
Total PnL
$-21.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.33
$-0.01
- NO
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.31
$0.03
- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.12
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7AM ET
5650 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8AM ET
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.11Jun 2, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.28Jun 2, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.34Jun 2, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 9?$1.24Jun 2, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.58Jun 2, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.50Jun 2, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 9?$1.24May 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.50May 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.50May 7, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on April 10?$1.20May 7, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?$2.10May 7, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.84May 7, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on April 10?$1.20Apr 8, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 8, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.40Apr 8, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.13Apr 8, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.33Apr 8, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.20Mar 23, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$9.1KMar 22, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$9.1KMar 22, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $433.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 23:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.