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GeopoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 3, 2026

Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Probability

92¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-1.2pp

24h Vol

$178.54

Liquidity

$18.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 92¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 922h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $18.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 922.1h

    LOW
  • 13:55Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 922h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.6pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.1pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

The 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next Governor of Gyeonggi Province. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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