Important-Sequence
0x61bdfabca3578b6b2856b92830221b0e7949ce44
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$12.42
Total PnL
$-120.44
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.42
$0.33
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
289 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?
275 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.87
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?
250 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 3?
220 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9?
196 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on March 18?
187 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?
180 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?
176 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
175 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$12.09Mar 25, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$12.09Mar 25, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$11.85Mar 23, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$2.93Mar 21, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$0.31Mar 21, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$4.03Mar 21, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.61Mar 20, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$6.88Mar 20, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$1.95Mar 19, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lille OSC (-2.5)$0.14Mar 19, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lille OSC (-2.5)$0.17Mar 19, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lille OSC (-2.5)$0.88Mar 19, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 19?$1.69Mar 19, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 19?$0.65Mar 19, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on March 18?$5.61Mar 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18?$1.11Mar 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$1.48Mar 18, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$3.51Mar 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 18?$0.35Mar 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 18?$1.25Mar 17, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".