Blissful-Runaway
0x61ca4f40bc9ad780d4ef0d04e0fea97e7584a1b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$1.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30662 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$291.29
$-25.97
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20306 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$172.60
$-20.14
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
357 shares @ 56.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$166.10
$-33.93
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
15272 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$122.17
$-657.69
- NO
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$117.92
$17.93
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$99.30
$-0.76
- YES
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
121 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$98.81
$-1.21
- YES
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$97.01
$-2.99
- NO
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 91.9¢·now 88.9¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$96.83
$-3.21
- YES
Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
132 shares @ 75.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.86
$-8.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 15?$4.95Jun 14, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15?$4.90Jun 14, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 15?$4.20Jun 14, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June 13?$10.00Jun 14, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 13?$10.00Jun 14, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 15?$8.90Jun 14, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 15?$4.95Jun 14, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 15?$4.94Jun 14, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.