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0x61d10d2f1f81bb6c4505d732edf696e7c3ff08c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.79
Total PnL
$-244.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.25
$-0.75
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
204 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.74
$-6.14
- YES
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
3190 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1.48Jun 12, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit North Korea by June 30?$1.00Jun 12, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$2.47Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$3.07Jun 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.20Jun 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.03Jun 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 7?$1.05May 7, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 8?$2.10May 7, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 7?$1.05May 7, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 8?$1.05May 7, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on May 8?$1.05May 6, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.