Vibrant-Reporting
0x61e7e940dc615fd3e409a2ca4c5ee7f57e1f6e8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$87.12
Total PnL
$-67.7K
Realised
$-22.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
3288 shares @ 16.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$87.12
$-438.88
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
55163 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.5K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
48602 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.2K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
17737 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
1139 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-523.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
455 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
132 shares @ 75.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.37Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$526.00Jun 20, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$339.62Jun 20, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$187.07Jun 20, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$1.2KJun 19, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$406.78Jun 19, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$757.91Jun 19, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.3KJun 19, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.2KJun 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$123.45Jun 19, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3.4KJun 19, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$90.71Jun 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$231.93Jun 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$600.00Jun 19, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$1.0KJun 19, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$1.5KJun 19, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$676.52Jun 19, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$452.45Jun 19, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$1000.00Jun 18, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$1000.00Jun 18, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$45.9K
Trades
3
Buy share
44%
Window
May 17, 21:03 UTC → Jun 18, 20:15 UTC
- SELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$7.4K@99¢May 31, 20:53 UTC
- BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.0K@70¢May 18, 05:15 UTC
- SELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$8.2K@58¢May 17, 20:58 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
44%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$20.0K · 44% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.