Uneven-Fluke
0x620daa7aa9ba70429c7f6896634b4e0007b2b91a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-456.80
Realised
$-1.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?
168 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.54
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bhutan win on 2026-06-04?
58 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Colombia vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?
42 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?
37 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
- YES
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Marcos Llorente: 1+ goals
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?$2.16Jul 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$2.03Jul 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?$0.90Jul 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$0.90Jul 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?$0.85Jul 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?$0.97Jul 9, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?$1.03Jul 9, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$1.02Jul 9, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?$1.03Jul 9, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?$1.03Jul 9, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?$1.03Jul 7, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$1.99Jul 7, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$1.00Jul 7, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$5.00Jul 6, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$1.02Jul 6, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$1.00Jul 6, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?$1.03Jul 6, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?$1.03Jul 6, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?$1.03Jul 6, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$10.74Jul 5, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.