Straight-Toffee
0x62109da307e28154c9d51f70dabd2e0200327806
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-296.06
Realised
$-0.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)
116 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?
70 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
56 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace" 10+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
34 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Predict" or "Prediction" 10+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?
30 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?
29 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$0.16Mar 18, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.31Mar 18, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?$0.10Mar 16, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.96Mar 16, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B$5.09Mar 16, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?$2.61Mar 16, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.00Mar 14, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffs$9.80Mar 13, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B$7.00Mar 11, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffs$5.00Mar 8, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffs$2.00Mar 7, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.94Mar 7, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffs$3.00Mar 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.00Mar 5, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 5, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?$1.00Mar 5, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$1.75Mar 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 5, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?$6.93Mar 5, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 00:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".