Threadbare-Industrialisation
0x621a5f57114060fa1b487f4f99f70eb0cb05c6b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$42.27
Total PnL
$9.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Canada recession before 2027?
24 shares @ 20.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.99
$19.11
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?
19 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.31
$0.85
- YES
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
40 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$2.82
$0.40
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?
19 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.65
$0.19
- YES
Will Stephen Vogt win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
40 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$2.26
$-0.16
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-01 House seat?
31 shares @ 7.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.01
$-0.43
- YES
Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?
60 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.7¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$1.61
$-0.05
- YES
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$-1.00
- YES
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?
54 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.87
$-1.18
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?
12 shares @ 20.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.68
$-1.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the AL-01 House seat?$2.53May 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.54May 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Chris Stewart as the next Director of National Intelligence?$2.53May 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$2.55May 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?$1.70May 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?$2.55May 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$2.54May 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?$2.49May 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada recession before 2027?$2.57May 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?$2.55May 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?$2.55May 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?$1.38May 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Vogt win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?$2.49May 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?$0.75May 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada recession before 2027?$2.50May 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$1.58May 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$0.42May 24, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$0.44May 22, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$0.81May 21, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$0.69May 21, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.