Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Probability
93¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-1.1pp
24h Vol
$965.64
Liquidity
$11.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6002.3h
- 21:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6002h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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