Apprehensive-Octavo
0x6229309252f6994fd244021beefb2fb29b1b0967
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.50
Total PnL
$-35.42
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Gnangbo Kacou win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Scott Stringer gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
99 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.00Apr 20, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 7, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 20, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?$19.48Jan 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?$0.07Jan 8, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?$0.45Jan 5, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?$109.89Jan 3, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 2, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?$100.00Jan 2, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?$442.56Jan 1, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?$62.37Jan 1, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?$326.80Jan 1, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?$8.40Jan 1, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?$8.90Jan 1, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$5.00Dec 31, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?$191.44Dec 31, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?$300.21Dec 31, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?$182.18Dec 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?$92.00Dec 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?$45.08Dec 31, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $118.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.