0x622a39d30706b4745fd6eb4362c51287474908f9
0x622a39d30706b4745fd6eb4362c51287474908f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$270.85
Total PnL
$-129.56
Realised
$-1.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
822 shares @ 35.0¢·now 29.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$246.14
$-41.30
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
103 shares @ 31.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.83
$-19.17
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.88
$-8.13
- YES
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
543 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday?
157 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Chile beat Bolivia?
134 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 305–319 times May 30–June 6?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Cuba win Miss Universe 2025?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$1.32May 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.56May 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$6.47May 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.25May 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$88.44Mar 10, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$181.50Feb 27, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$32.00Jan 29, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 29, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$27.29Jan 29, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$348.59Jan 29, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Nov 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cuba win Miss Universe 2025?$1.00Nov 21, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?$1.00Nov 21, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chile win Miss Universe 2025?$2.00Nov 21, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Spurs$1.60Nov 16, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$4.32Nov 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$5.92Nov 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$4.20Nov 16, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $20.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".