Perfect-Appetiser
0x62382a696ff02a618d8e143d4f0067ad02ce57c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
96
Open notional
$529.68
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$22.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
250 shares @ 80.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$141.22
$-58.77
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
133 shares @ 75.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.00
$26.00
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1136 shares @ 4.4¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$105.11
$55.11
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$79.38
$29.38
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
273 shares @ 9.2¢·now 12.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$33.82
$8.82
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1760 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.76
$-26.01
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4333 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.50
$-30.50
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?
9700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$83.33Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?$31.25Jul 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?$20.29Jul 17, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?$10.33Jul 17, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$10.30Jul 15, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$10.36Jul 15, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?$10.48Jul 15, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $15.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.